Notch vs Inter Moengotapoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NIS
2 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 5
NIS
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TAK
2 - 0
NOT
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
WBC
2 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Moengotapoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
RHO
3 - 1
INT
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
NIS
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 4
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RHO
0 - 1
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |