Notch vs Inter Moengotapoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
NOT
4 - 3
VIC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
NOT
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SNL
1 - 5
NOT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
3 - 2
WBC
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
INT
1 - 3
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Moengotapoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
NIS
1 - 0
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
BOT
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 5
INT
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
BOM
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
INT
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |