Notch vs Excelsior Meerzorg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
INT
0 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 0
NOT
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
TAK
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 4
WBC
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Meerzorg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 4
WBC
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
EXC
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
EXC
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 7
NIS
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |