Notch vs Botopasie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RHO
3 - 0
NOT
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
NOT
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +11 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
4 - 8
ARN
6%
14%
81%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 0
NOT
80%
13%
6%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 0
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botopasie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
4 - 1
EXC
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
NIS
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +5 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 2
TRA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RHO
1 - 0
BOT
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BOT
4 - 2
WBC
41%
21%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |