NoSta vs Khimik-Avgust analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
20
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOS
0 - 0
FCN
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TYU
3 - 1
NOS
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOS
0 - 2
MIA
20%
20%
61%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 0
NOS
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NOS
1 - 1
ORE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Khimik-Avgust
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 1
FCC
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 0
MIA
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 1
IRT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 5
DIN
86%
11%
4%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 1
FKK
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |