Norway U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2014 |
ROU
3 - 0
NOR
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
AUT
42%
24%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 0
NOR
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
POR
26%
24%
51%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LUX
1 - 5
NOR
12%
17%
71%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 3
DEN
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
4%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 0
ARM
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
1 - 0
LTU
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |