Noruega U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 2
NOR
32%
23%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
ENG
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
0 - 2
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
ISL
1 - 2
AZE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 0
ISL
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |