Norway U21 vs Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AZE
0 - 1
NOR
11%
17%
73%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
CZE
1 - 2
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
3 - 2
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 3
NOR
15%
21%
63%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
IRL
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRL
1 - 2
MNE
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MNE
0 - 0
IRL
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
IRL
5 - 2
FRO
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IRL
0 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |