Northern Hearts vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 3
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
OTU
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MIR
5 - 1
DUN
45%
23%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 2
CAN
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAV
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |