Northern AFC vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 5
ROW
39%
22%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
NAF
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NSH
2 - 2
NAF
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
GIA
5 - 0
NAF
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
WES
10%
14%
77%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WNK
3 - 5
GIA
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 4
MOS
56%
19%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
GIA
5 - 0
NAF
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HTA
1 - 6
GIA
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 2
ROW
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |