Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 1
NOR
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
MUF
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
AVH
1 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
KIN
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
DAN
3 - 2
PAS
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
OAK
2 - 1
DAN
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
3 - 0
HUM
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
2 - 1
BUL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 1
MZA
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |