Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 3
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 1
WEC
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
NOR
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 1
NOR
20%
21%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
BRD
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
OAK
6 - 0
DAN
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
DAN
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 0
OAK
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
DAN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 0
HUM
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |