Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 4
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOU
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 1
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 0
POR
80%
13%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIC
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
MEL
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 2
DAN
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
51%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
HUM
0 - 1
DAN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
6 - 2
DAN
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |