Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
NOR
39%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
HUM
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
RIC
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 3
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MZA
0 - 3
DAN
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 0
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
HUM
0 - 3
DAN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAN
4 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OAK
1 - 1
DAN
46%
25%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |