Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HUM
2 - 1
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
5 - 2
RIC
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
MEL
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
OAK
3 - 2
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 0
HEU
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
DAN
2 - 1
HUM
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RIC
0 - 3
DAN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
5 - 2
STA
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
DAN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |