Northcote City vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SGC
1 - 0
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 0
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALM
0 - 1
NOR
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 3
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DAN
0 - 2
BEN
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
DAN
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
0 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
OAK
3 - 1
DAN
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
0 - 3
RIC
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |