Northcote City vs Ballarat Red Devils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 3
BEN
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 2
NOR
37%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 2
HUM
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOR
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
DAN
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 3
BRD
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |