North Geelong Warriors vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
3 - 3
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
NGW
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 1
NGW
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NGW
1 - 0
NOR
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AVH
1 - 2
NGW
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
OAK
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
DAN
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 3
AVH
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
DAN
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
PAS
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |