North Carolina II vs Myrtle Beach Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
TRF
3 - 1
NOC
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
LFC
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -4 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 4
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
NOC
0 - 3
MBM
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
NOC
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Myrtle Beach Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 4
MBM
20%
19%
61%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
MBM
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -6 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
MBM
1 - 2
TOR
37%
22%
41%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
MBM
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
NOC
0 - 3
MBM
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |