Norma vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 2
NOR
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
NOR
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
QUI
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PIQ
1 - 1
NOR
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COV
0 - 3
QUI
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PIQ
3 - 0
COV
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 3
CAL
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
COV
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 1
VIS
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |