Norma vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
5 - 2
NAV
84%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
COV
1 - 2
NOR
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 2
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 3
NOR
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARC
59%
19%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
PIQ
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VIS
3 - 0
ARC
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 3
TAR
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
4 - 3
ARC
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |