Nordstrand vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
81%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 2
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 3
ASK
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DRO
4 - 0
NOR
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NES
2 - 6
NOR
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
TIF
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
VIF
3 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HAU
1 - 1
VIF
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VIF
3 - 1
BOG
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
MFK
2 - 0
VIF
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIF
2 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |