Nordstern vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
LIE
4 - 0
NOB
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
NOB
11%
19%
69%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DOR
1 - 3
NOB
23%
23%
55%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NOB
0 - 2
FCH
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 2
NOB
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 1
FCH
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
SUB
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SUB
2 - 2
MOU
17%
21%
63%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BIN
3 - 0
SUB
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 3
ALL
18%
23%
59%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |