Nordstern vs Herzogenbuchsee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 2
NOB
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SEE
3 - 0
NOB
13%
20%
66%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NOB
3 - 3
MOU
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BIN
0 - 2
NOB
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NOB
0 - 0
ALL
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DOR
3 - 1
FCH
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FCH
1 - 1
FCB
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCH
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCH
1 - 1
BIN
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ALL
0 - 0
FCH
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |