Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-5
Nordsjaelland vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BIF
2 - 0
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
AIK
0 - 1
FCN
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
3 - 0
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 0
AIK
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
MLA
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
DVR
0 - 1
PAR
10%
21%
69%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
TRA
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
RAD
1 - 0
PAR
14%
23%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |