Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-0
Nordsjaelland vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
2 - 1
CLI
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 1
ESB
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CLI
0 - 1
FCN
30%
23%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 3
FCN
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
AIK
5 - 1
BRO
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
AIK
1 - 1
SHR
64%
23%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
GIF
0 - 1
AIK
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
SHR
0 - 1
AIK
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 4
AIK
17%
25%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |