Nordsjaelland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
6º
5º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCN
2 - 2
BIF
49%
23%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
RAN
3 - 2
FCN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MID
5 - 0
FCN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FCN
3 - 2
MID
46%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BIF
0 - 0
FCN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 3
RAN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MID
3 - 1
AGF
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 3
FCK
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
3 - 1
AGF
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
RAN
3 - 1
AGF
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |