Nongbua Pitchaya vs Lamphun Warrior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
16º
15º
34
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nongbua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 1
NBP
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NBP
1 - 0
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 1
NBP
54%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NBP
0 - 0
SIN
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAK
2 - 1
NBP
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lamphun Warrior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 0
LWA
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LWA
0 - 2
BUR
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEC
0 - 0
LWA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAK
2 - 2
LWA
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
LWA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |