Nõmme United vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
20
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
2 - 1
TAB
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
TJK
0 - 5
NOM
5%
12%
83%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 0
VJK
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 8
NOM
9%
15%
76%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NOM
5 - 2
FCE
85%
11%
5%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
VJK
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
JKJ
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 5
FCT
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
4 - 2
TAB
6%
12%
82%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JKJ
83%
10%
6%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |