UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Nomme Kalju vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
3 - 0
TAM
85%
10%
4%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
0 - 0
KAL
54%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 0
PAI
86%
10%
3%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
KAL
14 - 0
KOH
94%
5%
1%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
KUR
0 - 1
KAL
7%
17%
76%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ROP
0 - 0
HJK
25%
26%
50%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
0 - 0
KAL
54%
22%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HJK
2 - 1
FCL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
IFK
0 - 5
HJK
29%
25%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |