Nõmme Kalju II vs Viimsi JK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
8º
8º
45
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 68 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 54 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 65% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 0
NOM
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCE
2 - 1
NOM
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 4
WEL
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 1
LEV
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 4
FCT
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Viimsi JK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 2
VJK
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
VJK
4 - 0
TKA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VJK
2 - 0
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
WEL
3 - 1
VJK
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VJK
1 - 1
FLO
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |