Nõmme Kalju II vs Tammeka II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
8º
8º
6
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 85 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 68 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 54 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
47% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
FCT
7 - 0
NOM
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
NOM
3 - 3
TKA
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 4
VJK
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 0
NOM
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FCE
2 - 1
NOM
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tammeka II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VJK
4 - 0
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 3
FCT
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TKA
6 - 1
TAM
56%
20%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 5
FCE
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
WEL
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |