Nõmme Kalju II vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KUR
0 - 1
NOM
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NOM
3 - 1
FLO
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
VAN
0 - 1
NOM
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
KIV
3 - 0
NOM
50%
21%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
NOM
2 - 3
VAN
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
42%
23%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 6
PAR
10%
15%
75%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAK
68%
17%
14%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
TUL
64%
19%
18%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
TUL
1 - 0
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |