Nõmme Kalju II vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
NOM
8 - 0
FCE
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 3
PAR
50%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SKA
1 - 1
NOM
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCA
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 2
NOM
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCE
0 - 0
JKJ
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 1
JKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FLO
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
TJK
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
2 - 3
TDU
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |