Nomads Utd vs Nelson Suburbs analysis

Nomads Utd Nelson Suburbs
20 ELO 23
2.7% Tilt 1.1%
12015º General ELO ranking 10622º
27º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
21.5%
Nomads Utd
19.5%
Draw
59%
Nelson Suburbs

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
59%
Win probability
Nelson Suburbs
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nomads Utd
-6%
+30%
Nelson Suburbs

Points and table prediction

Nomads Utd
Their league position
Nelson Suburbs
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
29
42
68.5%
Cashmere Technical
28
40
56.5%
Coastal Spirit
27
40
56.5%
Nomads Utd
21
28
41%
Nelson Suburbs
20
27
32%
Ferrymead Bays
21
25
34.5%
Dunedin
14
21
39.5%
Wanaka
12
19
49.5%
Universities AFC
4
7
69.5%
Selwyn United
10º
2
5
10º
69.5%
Expected probabilities
Nomads Utd
Nelson Suburbs
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nomads Utd
Nelson Suburbs
Cashmere Technical
Coastal Spirit
Wanaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
NOM
Nomads Utd
2 - 1
Selwyn United
SUF
87%
9%
4%
18 9 9 0
03 May. 2025
WNK
Wanaka
2 - 3
Nomads Utd
NOM
72%
15%
13%
18 24 6 0
25 Apr. 2025
NOM
Nomads Utd
2 - 4
Coastal Spirit
COA
14%
17%
69%
18 30 12 0
18 Apr. 2025
CAS
Cashmere Technical
3 - 3
Nomads Utd
NOM
91%
7%
3%
18 35 17 0
12 Apr. 2025
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 2
Dunedin
DUN
66%
17%
17%
19 16 3 -1

Matches

Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2025
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
2 - 1
Wanaka
WNK
57%
18%
25%
24 23 1 0
04 May. 2025
COA
Coastal Spirit
3 - 0
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
57%
20%
23%
25 30 5 -1
26 Apr. 2025
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
2 - 0
Cashmere Technical
CAS
13%
15%
73%
21 35 14 +4
18 Apr. 2025
DUN
Dunedin
2 - 0
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
22%
19%
59%
23 17 6 -2
13 Apr. 2025
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
7 - 1
Universities AFC
UOC
89%
7%
4%
22 10 12 +1