Nomads Utd vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
59%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
8º
5º
20
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 42 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 40 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 40 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 29 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 28 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 21 |
7º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 5 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 1
SUF
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
WNK
2 - 3
NOM
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
NOM
2 - 4
COA
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 3
NOM
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
NOM
0 - 2
DUN
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
NSF
2 - 1
WNK
57%
18%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
COA
3 - 0
NSF
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NSF
2 - 0
CAS
13%
15%
73%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +4 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 0
NSF
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NSF
7 - 1
UOC
89%
7%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |