Nomads Utd vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
25
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
3 - 2
CHR
12%
14%
74%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
HAL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
NSF
44%
20%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 3
CAS
7%
11%
83%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
FER
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
SUF
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |