Nomads Utd vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
NOM
2 - 1
COA
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
CHR
2 - 2
NOM
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
NSF
2 - 0
NOM
81%
12%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
SUF
2 - 3
NOM
13%
17%
71%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
NOM
3 - 3
COA
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 3
FER
90%
8%
2%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
NSF
0 - 1
FER
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
WAF
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
FER
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
FER
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | -1 |