Noja vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOJ
0 - 1
SDL
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
NOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOJ
0 - 1
RUN
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
NOJ
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NOJ
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
RJA
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ECI
1 - 1
RJA
30%
31%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 2
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |