Noisy-le-Sec vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
NOI
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NOI
0 - 0
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOI
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOI
3 - 1
ISS
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OIS
0 - 0
NOI
46%
28%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
SAI
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 0
CAL
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 2
DIE
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 0
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |