Noisy-le-Sec vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 1
NOI
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
NOI
54%
25%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOI
1 - 1
AMI
50%
26%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOI
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
EVR
4 - 0
NOI
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 3
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OIS
0 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 1
ARR
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |