Noia vs SD Sarriana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
DUB
5 - 2
NOI
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NOI
2 - 1
PUE
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ART
1 - 1
NOI
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RIB
1 - 1
NOI
46%
23%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NOI
3 - 1
CDC
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
RIB
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 2
SAR
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
5 - 0
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BOI
0 - 1
SAR
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 0
SOF
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |