Noia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
NOI
1 - 2
VIV
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
RCV
3 - 1
NOI
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NOI
1 - 1
BOU
20%
24%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EST
4 - 1
NOI
60%
22%
19%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NOI
0 - 1
SIL
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHO
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 4
EST
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SIL
3 - 0
CHO
39%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARN
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |