Nogueirense FC vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+325%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nogueirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DSA
0 - 0
NOG
65%
20%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NOG
1 - 0
CUS
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FOZ
2 - 2
NOG
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NOG
0 - 0
CSA
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
NOG
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALP
1 - 1
PED
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALP
0 - 2
DSA
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CUS
2 - 1
ALP
36%
25%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALP
4 - 1
FOZ
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 0
ALP
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |