Nocerina vs Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOC
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NOC
1 - 2
ASD
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PVM
2 - 1
NOC
25%
24%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
NOC
4 - 2
HYR
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 0
NOC
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASF
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
VIR
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
ASD
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
VIR
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 1
ROT
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |