Nocerina vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 4
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOC
0 - 2
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
NOC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 4
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 1
JUS
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
SAS
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 1
LIV
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAS
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAD
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |