Nocerina vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MDC
3 - 1
NOC
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 5
NOC
28%
25%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 0
NOC
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
SSB
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
4 - 1
SSE
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 2
TRA
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
TRA
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 0
NUO
41%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAS
2 - 0
TRA
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |