Nocerina vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 2
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
NOC
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
NOC
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TER
0 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
TER
50%
26%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TER
1 - 3
BEN
25%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SSB
1 - 2
TER
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TER
1 - 1
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |