Nocerina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
NOC
68%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
SPA
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
NOC
2 - 0
RIM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
UDI
3 - 0
NOC
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 1
CES
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
PES
3 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
TER
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 0
PAL
36%
31%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |