Nocerina vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOC
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 2
BV5
44%
27%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASG
38%
28%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOC
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 1
ACP
48%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
ACP
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACG
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ASG
0 - 2
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
USP
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |