Nocerina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
NOC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
MOD
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 1
NOC
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NOC
2 - 3
JUS
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 3
NOC
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
CTT
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
SAM
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAS
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
SAM
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |